Virginia Tech
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 87.1272Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 12-10 211 A James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 7-13 214 H Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 16-11 217 H VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 11- 4 222 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 8-10 227 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 17-13 303 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 6-16 306 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 3-13 310 H Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 20-10 314 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 15- 9 317 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 9- 4 321 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 9-15 328 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 9-17 331 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 14-10 404 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 9-13 411 A California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 10- 5 416 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Mercer 12-10 2 0 1.72
211 A James Madison 7-13 -6 -5 -0.89
214 H Louisville 16-11 5 3 + 2.44
217 H VCU 11- 4 7 5 1.71
222 A Pittsburgh 8-10 -2 -3 0.95
227 H Elon 17-13 4 6 -1.55
303 H Stanford 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.58
306 A Syracuse 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.67
310 H Queens 20-10 10 12 -1.76
314 A Florida State 15- 9 6 3 + 3.00
317 A High Point 9- 4 5 4 1.16
321 H Duke 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.53
328 A Clemson 9-17 -8 -9 0.98
331 H East Carolina 14-10 4 5 -0.96
404 H Notre Dame 9-13 -4 -5 0.88
411 A California 10- 5 5 3 + 2.06
416 H Virginia 10-13 -3 -2 -0.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Stanford 6-16 -10 -7 - -2.58 306 A Syracuse 3-13 -10 -7 - -2.67 321 H Duke 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Louisville 16-11 5 3 + 2.44 314 A Florida State 15- 9 6 3 + 3.00 411 A California 10- 5 5 3 + 2.06 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 12-10 -14.42 25.75 1.37 1.02 55.27
3 A James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 7-13 -9.04 31.13 1.37 1.02 -3.91
3 H Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 16-11 -13.96 26.20 -1.37 1.02 50.61
3 H VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 11- 4 -16.70 23.47 -1.37 1.02 45.05
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 8-10 -11.19 28.97 1.37 1.02 -5.01
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 17-13 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 1.02 44.52
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 6-16 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 1.02 -2.73
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 3-13 -6.81 33.36 1.37 1.02 -2.77
3 H Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 20-10 -23.17 17.00 -1.37 1.02 31.86
3 A Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 15- 9 -17.14 23.02 1.37 1.02 49.71
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 9- 4 -17.98 22.19 1.37 1.02 48.00
3 H Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 9-15 -8.94 31.23 -1.37 1.02 -5.25
3 A Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 9-17 -5.16 35.01 1.37 1.02 -1.93
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 14-10 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 1.02 45.72
3 H Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 9-13 -6.52 33.65 -1.37 1.02 -4.02
3 A California ( 6-11, 82.8) 10- 5 -17.08 23.08 1.37 1.02 49.83
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 10-13 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 1.02 -5.46
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389.49
|
winning pts = 420.5670 losing points = -31.0733
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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